Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000282 0.000316 0.000353 0.000396 0.000444 0.000497 0.000560
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000218 0.000267 0.000324 0.000396 0.000487 0.000596 0.000740
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000230 0.000297 0.000389 0.000511 0.000670 0.000895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000210 0.000285 0.000394 0.000548 0.000761 0.001081
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000194 0.000275 0.000397 0.000580 0.000846 0.001270
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000172 0.000252 0.000379 0.000577 0.000879 0.001384
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000161 0.000244 0.000381 0.000603 0.000957 0.001577
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000157 0.000246 0.000398 0.000654 0.001079 0.001859
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000145 0.000234 0.000390 0.000662 0.001131 0.002025
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000131 0.000217 0.000371 0.000649 0.001144 0.002123
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000126 0.000213 0.000375 0.000677 0.001233 0.002376
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000125 0.000217 0.000394 0.000733 0.001381 0.002763
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000117 0.000209 0.000388 0.000745 0.001446 0.003002
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000111 0.000203 0.000387 0.000765 0.001535 0.003305
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000104 0.000194 0.000380 0.000771 0.001593 0.003552
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000100 0.000191 0.000385 0.000803 0.001712 0.003958
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000097 0.000188 0.000388 0.000832 0.001827 0.004374
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000089 0.000176 0.000370 0.000814 0.001833 0.004521
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000086 0.000173 0.000372 0.000839 0.001943 0.004955
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000085 0.000176 0.000389 0.000900 0.002147 0.005676
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000081 0.000169 0.000380 0.000901 0.002205 0.006004
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000158 0.000362 0.000875 0.002188 0.006120
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000157 0.000366 0.000907 0.002327 0.006717